Aidan's Weather Page

A volatile day ahead Severe storms expected across Minnesota for today Today is going to be a volatile day for most of Minnesota. Environmental conditions are conducive for a major severe weather outbreak this afternoon and evening. All modes of severe weather are expected this afternoon into this evening.  The Storm Prediction center has issues a moderate risk of severe weather for central Minnesota. Below are the probabilities of each hazardous type of weather associated with today's storms.  Above are the tornado probabilities. A 15% hatched risk of tornado is in place across much of central Minnesota. This means that not only are tornadoes a possibility, but large, long track tornadoes are expected as well.  Above are the probabilities for hail. There isa 30% hatched risk for a decent chunk of Minnesota. Hail damage will be possible to roofs, vehicles, people, animals as hail stones could be 2+ inches in diameter.  Above are the probabilities of se...

Saturday, Sunday and Memorial Day Minnesota forecast  Severe thunderstorms expected across Minnesota this weekend An enhanced risk of severe thunderstorms is currently in place for much of Minnesota for Sunday and Memorial Day. A powerful negatively tilted trough is currently digging into the western portion of the United States and will provide a favorable environment for severe thunderstorm development.  Rest of Saturday The first round of precipitation has exited Minnesota for the most part with a few lingering showers in far southeast Minnesota. The remainder of the day looks to be dry thanks to a thermal ridge propagating eastward behind this mornings shortwave. Looking ahead to tonight, most of central Minnesota should stay dry. The far western part of the state could see some thunderstorm activity track in from the Dakota's. Thanks to a powerful low level jet, ample instability and moisture, a threat for some severe thunderstorms exists. Large hail and damaging win...

A look to Memorial Day weekend    Happy Wednesday everyone! With what many consider the unofficial start of summer fast approaching, the million dollar questions are if it will actually feel like summer and if the weather will cooperate for some of those long missed cookouts across Wisconsin and Minnesota. Fortunately, it looks like much of Minnesota and Wisconsin will see at least a decent stretch of summer like warmth and sunshine this upcoming weekend, but some rather unsettled weather is also possible at times, especially in central Minnesota and far western Wisconsin. I want to emphasize that since this is still 4-5 days out there is respectable uncertainty in this forecast, this is not a set and stone guarantee as of now. Saturday Saturday looks to be mostly dry across Wisconsin and a decent portion of Minnesota. Both the Global Forecasting System (GFS) and European  (EURO) models, however, are indicating a wave of energy could try to make its way across Minnesota e...

 Welcome to my weather page! Hello everyone!  My name is Aidan Cera, I am an undergraduate meteorology student at Saint Cloud State University, MN who has been passionate about weather for as long as I can remember. I have just finished my second year of studies at SCSU, and figured it would be cool to start sharing my interest of weather with others who may be interested as well.  First off, if you are reading this, I want to thank you for being here. Your support means a lot! Whether you become a frequent follower of this page or not, I want to thank you for taking the time to check it out! Second, I figure I should go a little into what exactly will be covered on this blog. I spend the majority of my time in Wisconsin and Minnesota, and make frequent localized forecasts for central Minnesota and southeastern Wisconsin, so these areas will be be my primary forecasting regions. The icons I use for weather forecasting are The Weather Channel's old weather icons that have ...